Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.848425 8.844586 9.880746 11.035820 12.284327 13.590047 15.055716
2024-10-20 6.126980 7.510811 9.033485 10.820279 12.846440 15.059970 17.648047
2024-10-27 4.915464 6.445175 8.204117 10.349563 12.868850 15.707186 19.119916
2024-11-03 4.336553 6.010282 8.004632 10.512312 13.536730 17.023607 21.303003
2024-11-10 3.882534 5.660717 7.848577 10.674020 14.160894 18.259899 23.377008
2024-11-17 3.380529 5.190874 7.491436 10.541555 14.390143 18.998697 24.844449
2024-11-24 3.025994 4.874014 7.292482 10.574815 14.797486 19.935024 26.540763
2024-12-01 2.694606 4.553343 7.057540 10.534124 15.090076 20.716543 28.042699
2024-12-08 2.417793 4.280888 6.862012 10.522722 15.402844 21.512667 29.559583
2024-12-15 2.365593 4.328355 7.100860 11.090865 16.471878 23.270713 32.293176
2024-12-22 2.143470 4.099595 6.935181 11.095001 16.789887 24.070391 33.825873
2024-12-29 2.094162 4.131593 7.138505 11.607826 17.788764 25.753070 36.493565
2025-01-05 1.983163 4.060521 7.192138 11.918578 18.532175 27.131269 38.813087
2025-01-12 1.738712 3.749976 6.872272 11.683706 18.523041 27.523075 39.868375
2025-01-19 1.460407 3.351593 6.390490 11.186853 18.127436 27.384356 40.219034
2025-01-26 1.360967 3.255215 6.368615 11.358836 18.662151 28.485529 42.197065
2025-02-02 1.270071 3.165011 6.349326 11.529731 19.193908 29.585683 44.182489
2025-02-09 1.126849 2.961428 6.132849 11.389747 19.272491 30.066857 45.346971
2025-02-16 1.029469 2.835476 6.035320 11.424897 19.599068 30.885678 46.965909
2025-02-23 0.927775 2.689119 5.893245 11.381892 19.805697 31.537200 48.362488
2025-03-02 0.840450 2.562082 5.775497 11.369842 20.053031 32.243766 49.836484
2025-03-09 0.851719 2.648507 6.035925 11.970065 21.220371 34.247233 53.090818
2025-03-16 0.775749 2.534148 5.931696 11.974433 21.492354 34.995284 54.637695